Cowper has historically been a seat with only a small majority. This time, the Nats have gone for a Port candidate, who has hardly visited Coffs in his campaign. Robinson transferred to the new seat of Page in 1984, and Garry Nehl won Cowper for the Nationals. Its clear that no one has bothered to ask what any of the major parties have done for the Mid North Coast when in Power over the last 50 years, either state or federally 1 Libs – nothing as its safe LNP/Nat seat – therefore no need to do anything 2 ALP – Nothing – safe LNP/Nat seat – don’t waste money when we get nothing back 3 Oakeshott – balance of power – new highway, hospital, university just to name 3 things this area received and for once someone got something for this electorate. He had the opportunity to be one of the most powerful, & influential politicians of all time, & he gave it all away to Gillard for 20 pieces of silver. Lee was defeated by John Thomson in 1906. The National Party candidate for Cowper is also a recent arrival from the Northern Suburbs of Sydney. Heaven help us if these clowns get their hands on our hard earned dollars. The environment is perfect for Oakeshott. Well evangelicalisms have succeeded for millennia. Perhaps there is a bit of a shallow gene pool in the Nats. There was indeed a big swing against the coalition at the last federal election in NSW so of that 8% you mention, maybe 3% was the general swing and the other 5% were Coalition voters that Oakeshott managed to peel off. He got all the soft votes last time, Peterjk23 Really excellent points. Incumbent MP Luke Hartsuyker, since 2001. If he can do this, he’ll hold. This is interesting Rob Oakshott could upset things here, Hadley will go off his head on 2GB if he does watch this seat. Write CSS OR LESS and hit save. Page continued to serve in Parliament until the 1961 election. i wonder!!?? The suggestion that i would fail to identify the individual views of journalists is insulting. i’m very sceptical Oakeshott can improve on his 2016 result. He was defeated in 1963 by the Country Party’s Ian Robinson. And now, the number of votes for each of the eight candidates for the seat of Cowper can be revealed. A new independent with name recognition IS hard to beat, but the problem for Oakeshott is that he is a known quantity and seen as being aligned with Labor and the Greens. The Greens vote increased in northern NSW (SLIGHTLY ) groundbreaking stuff again. Bill Shorten did it too. Even if Cowper falls it isn’t the worst thing for the Coalition. Are you an individualist, or a collectivist ? That didn’t seem to stop nearly 30% of voters from giving him their first preference. Ruth Meads from the Christian Democratic Party (Fred Nile Group) drew the favourable number one position.
Pat Conaghan was a clear winner for Cowper after the electorate cast its vote in May. Also making news, whats on: Meet Kellie Pearce, the Animal Justice Party candidate for Cowper. In a surprise upset, Page was defeat by the ALP’s Frank McGuren, and he died days later. The Cowper electorate has the most voters in Australia. It all depends on how the Nats campaign here. This’ll be an IND gain, and I don’t think it’ll be that close either.
Please note: All comments made or shown here are bound by the We can not afford Oakeshott nor Shorten. Of Oakshott’s 45% TCP, 40% would be usual ALP/Greens voters as that is where the seat usually sits on the pendulum. Opinion polling over the last two years has shown public support for increasing renewables being over 70%, and rising. & it shows big time. The Nationals candidate Pat Conaghan was drawn second, followed by Alexander Stewart from the United Australia Party in third. In February 2016, New South Wales federal electoral districts were redistributed. We all know why the Australian might think so. Have voters forgotten already how he delivered govt to Gillard in 2010? Consequently i read his stuff pretty critically. I’d remind you that i have 24 panels on my roof, & i haven’t become, or transformed into a climate change zealot !! The full distribution of preferences can be found at the Australian Electoral Commission website. This follows almost 100,000 additions to the roll in the week preceding the close of rolls, which has pushed the national enrolment rate to an extraordinary 96.8 per cent. He has tasted the public purse and wants more. If Oakeshott runs a serious campaign, he should win this, but we’ll see in a few months. The Nats ARE toast here.
Daniel, The answer is here: https://changecowper.com/about/. Nehl retired in 2001, and was succeeded by Luke Hartsuyker. The problem with Crowe is that he is so sure that he is right (about everything) that he neglected to review his piece objectively. Obviously they really can’t afford to lose any seats, but I think it’ll be balanced out by likely victory in Indi. You have entered an incorrect email address! Expat Mate are you for real ??. Cathy McGowan learned the lesson and made it quite clear she was not going to rock the confidence boat when the Libs went back into minority – she knew that Indi was not going to be up for handing Labor the keys to the Lodge. Votes for first preference in the first count for all candidates were: In the final two party preferred count Mr Oakeshott received 43.21 per cent of the final vote while Mr Conaghan remained the preferred candidate with 56.79 per cent of the vote for The Nationals. Article in OZ TODAY Oakeshott has committed to 100% renewables, with 50% by 2030. Ruth Meads from the Christian Democratic Party (Fred Nile Group) drew the favourable number one position.
Clearly you do not. The seat of Cowper is home to 124,507 eligible voters, with 91.90 per cent lodging a vote in the election. Dead right. Renewables or no. Cars are part of the family. Assessment This seat is normally considered reasonably safe, but Rob Oakeshott’s last-minute candidacy (announced shortly before nominations closed) was enough to cut Hartsuyker’s margin to less than 5%. I think i posted something on the Hughes thread.I sincerely wish that others could share my faith in the future, rather than be terrified of “the catastrophic climate change alarmism’ that so many are obsessed by. He served as Treasurer in the Bruce government until 1929.
Candidates Sitting Nationals MP Luke Hartsuyker is not running for re-election. Oakeshott has been campaigning and has said he will run. Members of Parliament and Senators who chose not to renominate for the 2019 election were as follows: Labor.
Who actually knows ?? Either way he has proven himself a gutless wonder, & a self important preaching irrelevance. Oakshot!!! But they lose that effect straight away with the fact that Luke Hartsuyker is not standing, which means the loss of incumbency is cancelled by the favourable position. The two candidate preferred results for Cowper were Pat Conaghan with a total of 59,932 votes followed by Rob Oakeshott with 45,596 votes. Hartsuyker has held the seat ever since. Gee the Nats in Victoria have a different view of coal fired power stations than the LNP in QLD.!! Andrew Woodward from the Labor Party drew fourth, Independent Robert Oakeshott fifth, Lauren Edwards from the Greens sixth, Kellie Pearce from the Animal Justice Party seventh while Independent Allan Green rounded out the candidates in eighth position. he wants to go further. Votes for first preference in the first count for all candidates were: In the final two party preferred count Mr Oakeshott received 43.21 per cent of the final vote while Mr Conaghan remained the preferred candidate with 56.79 per cent of the vote for The Nationals. Nats win by default. There will be a swing against the Coalition in this seat and the odds have Oakeshott favourite at $1.60 to the Nats at $2. Perhaps it was a protest vote. As with Tony Windsor, his big disadvantage is that he is seen my many as being aligned with the political left and not a genuine independent. Now with no Nats incumbent, an extended run from Oakeshott and a general anti-major party sentiment in the electorate I think he’ll get at least 55% 2PP. Also, both Oakeshott and Windsor knew they were on a hiding to nothing in 2013 and wimped out big time by not even running. cheers WD. Well that’s a surprise !!! Yet. An idealist without substance. 4/ Yeah i know about a dozen + people in Cowper. Thomson first held the seat for the Protectionist Party and held the seat for successive non-Labor parties for the next 13 years. Page refused to serve in a government led by Lyons’ deputy Robert Menzies, but the Country Party rebelled and replaced Page with a new leader.
The official voting day for the federal election is on Saturday, May 18, although pre-polling opens on Monday, April 29. They won’t !!. Before 2013 he used to get huge numbers of crossover votes and had 2CPs of 60 or 70%. Rob Oakeshott above the National’s or Vice versa? Another factor this time is that last time there was a dynamic of Oakeshott from Port vs Hartsuyker from Coffs, which got Coffs people parochially backing the local against the outsider (the decision to put Port in Cowper didn’t go down well in Coffs). The official results of the May 18 federal election have been released by the NSW Electoral Commission. Only Ballina, Lismore and Coffs Harbour went the other way.
If serious contender, he should have cancelled all other commitments for the duration of his campaign. However, I think voters, while never forgetting the disasters of Gillard and co, have moved on. The Cowper electorate has the most voters in Australia. The Nationals candidate Pat Conaghan was drawn second, followed by Alexander Stewart from the United Australia Party in third.